The
fact is, we have, and will continue to have, more and more
destabilizing events for our supply chains. Your company may have a
supply chain that was conceived in a different context to that of
today. In the heyday of globalization, sourcing components from the
other side of the world was the norm, and the production cost
differential was such that the question hardly arose. You just had to
go to countries with low labour costs.
The assessment of risks, such as geopolitical risks, took a back seat.
China was the workshop of the world, and India an alternative. Russia
supplied energy, titanium, and uranium. Transportation remained
smoothly globalized. Lower costs were well worth slightly longer lead
times and carbon footprint was not yet an issue.
What are we talking about?
When you talk to the planning and procurement teams at
some companies, you can see just how problematic their supply chain
design is. A recent example from a well-known company speaks for
itself. Key components and critical raw materials are sourced from
Asia. Few suppliers are involved, but all are considered unreliable. In
discussions with suppliers and managers, it’s clear that everyone
is resigned to the situation. Suppliers are unreliable, that’s
the way it is. We receive one container a month from each supplier
– which means we only have one opportunity a month to place an
order. The lead time, including production and transport, is 3 months.
When you have to deliver your finished products in a few days or even
2-3 weeks, isn’t it a bit problematic to have such a long and
unresponsive upstream chain? Don’t tell me you’re surprised
by this caricatured example – I’m sure many of you
recognize similarities with your flows. The costs involved are enormous
– in inventories, lost sales, obsolescence, stress on planning
teams, efforts to achieve an illusory accurate three-month forecast,
air freight for expedites, etc.
At the London Gartner conference in October 2023, one of the
analysts’ recommendations was to redesign the operating model to
take risk into account. Ok, but redesigning a supply chain isn’t
easy. You have qualified suppliers for a certain flow, and you
can’t change them easily. Production skills may no longer exist
in other parts of the world. And how can you justify to company
shareholders a massive investment in redesigning the supply chain
– unless you’re already in the midst of an existential
crisis?
The options open to you have distinct horizons:
- In the long term, you need to educate your sourcing teams
to take risks into account, train them in what supply chain resilience
means, and ensure that supplier selections and the design of future
flows are underpinned by a strategy of agility and true full cost. I
have the impression that it’s going to be a long and tortuous
road to get there. In the Demand Driven projects that we run,
purchasing is too often rarely involved. In most of the companies we
know, supply chain and purchasing exist in silos that are at best
separate, if not antagonistic. At a time when business schools are
seeing young graduates rebelling against the ecocide approaches of
potential employers, there is undoubtedly an opportunity. Why not start
by putting purchasing and supply chain under the same roof?
- In the short term, we have to live with the existing supply
chain design and improve its management by setting up and actively
monitoring buffers, increasing visibility, and using collaborative
means to limit the distortion of signals along the chain. It’s a
logical redesign of your supply chain until you’re ready for a
physical transformation.
Get in touch.
For more information, contact KenTitmuss.